宽基择时组合是一个实验性量化策略,使用简单的因子进行宽基指数择时投资,目标是寻找一种逻辑比较可靠、个人投资者可操作的策略。为方便跟踪策略效果和宽基交易信号,策略每日更新运行数据。
研究过程见: ① 宽基定投是圣杯吗 ② 宽基择时指标研究 ③ 宽基择时组合构建

回测收益率

以 2013 年 1 月 1 日为起点
Stat 无风险收益 沪深300 等权组合 宽基择时
Start 2013-01-03 2013-01-03 2013-01-03 2013-01-03
End 2024-04-29 2024-04-29 2024-04-29 2024-04-29
Risk-free rate 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Total Return 55.60% 39.98% 79.73% 316.09%
Daily Sharpe 6.05 0.25 0.38 1.07
Daily Sortino 11.54 0.39 0.58 1.74
CAGR 3.98% 3.02% 5.32% 13.42%
Max Drawdown -0.84% -46.88% -43.90% -16.83%
Calmar Ratio 4.72 0.06 0.12 0.80
MTD 0.95% 1.92% 2.18% 1.55%
3m 2.17% 7.46% 6.59% 5.90%
6m 3.56% 2.38% 3.25% 7.92%
YTD 2.91% 5.08% 4.44% 7.88%
1Y 5.60% -10.22% -6.78% 6.14%
3Y (ann.) 4.49% -11.24% -5.54% 4.07%
5Y (ann.) 4.27% -1.65% 1.13% 8.83%
10Y (ann.) 4.18% 5.31% 5.76% 15.08%
Since Incep. (ann.) 3.98% 3.02% 5.32% 13.42%
Daily Sharpe 6.05 0.25 0.38 1.07
Daily Sortino 11.54 0.39 0.58 1.74
Daily Mean (ann.) 4.06% 5.72% 7.18% 13.92%
Daily Vol (ann.) 0.67% 22.91% 18.94% 13.01%
Daily Skew 0.15 -0.68 -0.86 -0.19
Daily Kurt 20.44 6.84 7.49 9.44
Best Day 0.53% 8.12% 6.25% 5.46%
Worst Day -0.47% -11.12% -9.06% -6.84%
Monthly Sharpe 4.40 0.23 0.36 0.97
Monthly Sortino 18.70 0.39 0.60 2.20
Monthly Mean (ann.) 3.95% 4.91% 6.26% 13.04%
Monthly Vol (ann.) 0.90% 21.79% 17.31% 13.50%
Monthly Skew 0.02 0.07 -0.38 1.27
Monthly Kurt 1.00 3.33 3.58 8.04
Best Month 1.07% 25.68% 15.60% 18.74%
Worst Month -0.55% -24.04% -21.75% -15.84%
Yearly Sharpe 2.78 0.27 0.34 0.75
Yearly Sortino inf 0.70 0.86 14.54
Yearly Mean 3.88% 6.69% 6.43% 14.56%
Yearly Vol 1.40% 24.65% 18.75% 19.33%
Yearly Skew -0.75 0.44 0.12 1.28
Yearly Kurt 2.02 -0.79 -1.23 0.54
Best Year 6.09% 51.16% 36.60% 54.64%
Worst Year 0.75% -25.53% -20.18% -2.87%
Avg. Drawdown -0.04% -6.61% -2.93% -2.33%
Avg. Drawdown Days 6.37 150.30 76.81 43.93
Avg. Up Month 0.38% 4.55% 3.74% 2.65%
Avg. Down Month -0.11% -4.32% -3.27% -1.75%
Win Year % 100.00% 54.55% 63.64% 81.82%
Win 12m % 99.20% 53.60% 62.40% 86.40%

仓位

多空信号 - 沪深300

多空信号 - 上证50

多空信号 - 中证500

多空信号 - 创业板

多空信号 - 上证红利