宽基择时组合是一个实验性量化策略,使用简单的因子进行宽基指数择时投资,目标是寻找一种逻辑比较可靠、个人投资者可操作的策略。为方便跟踪策略效果和宽基交易信号,策略每日更新运行数据。
研究过程见: ① 宽基定投是圣杯吗 ② 宽基择时指标研究 ③ 宽基择时组合构建

回测收益率

以 2013 年 1 月 1 日为起点
Stat 无风险收益 沪深300 等权组合 宽基择时
Start 2013-01-03 2013-01-03 2013-01-03 2013-01-03
End 2024-04-26 2024-04-26 2024-04-26 2024-04-26
Risk-free rate 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Total Return 55.64% 37.93% 77.80% 314.55%
Daily Sharpe 6.05 0.24 0.37 1.07
Daily Sortino 11.55 0.38 0.57 1.74
CAGR 3.99% 2.88% 5.22% 13.40%
Max Drawdown -0.84% -46.88% -43.90% -16.83%
Calmar Ratio 4.73 0.06 0.12 0.80
MTD 0.97% 0.43% 1.08% 1.18%
3m 2.28% 6.16% 5.62% 5.98%
6m 3.61% 1.35% 2.70% 7.72%
YTD 2.94% 3.54% 3.32% 7.48%
1Y 5.68% -10.58% -6.75% 6.11%
3Y (ann.) 4.49% -11.84% -5.95% 3.91%
5Y (ann.) 4.27% -2.07% 0.84% 8.72%
10Y (ann.) 4.18% 5.01% 5.49% 14.84%
Since Incep. (ann.) 3.99% 2.88% 5.22% 13.40%
Daily Sharpe 6.05 0.24 0.37 1.07
Daily Sortino 11.55 0.38 0.57 1.74
Daily Mean (ann.) 4.06% 5.59% 7.08% 13.89%
Daily Vol (ann.) 0.67% 22.91% 18.94% 13.01%
Daily Skew 0.15 -0.68 -0.86 -0.19
Daily Kurt 20.45 6.85 7.49 9.44
Best Day 0.53% 8.12% 6.25% 5.46%
Worst Day -0.47% -11.12% -9.06% -6.84%
Monthly Sharpe 4.40 0.22 0.36 0.96
Monthly Sortino 18.71 0.37 0.59 2.19
Monthly Mean (ann.) 3.95% 4.78% 6.16% 13.01%
Monthly Vol (ann.) 0.90% 21.78% 17.30% 13.50%
Monthly Skew 0.03 0.08 -0.37 1.27
Monthly Kurt 1.01 3.33 3.58 8.05
Best Month 1.07% 25.68% 15.60% 18.74%
Worst Month -0.55% -24.04% -21.75% -15.84%
Yearly Sharpe 2.79 0.27 0.34 0.75
Yearly Sortino inf 0.69 0.85 14.51
Yearly Mean 3.88% 6.55% 6.33% 14.52%
Yearly Vol 1.39% 24.66% 18.76% 19.34%
Yearly Skew -0.76 0.46 0.14 1.28
Yearly Kurt 2.05 -0.78 -1.24 0.54
Best Year 6.09% 51.16% 36.60% 54.64%
Worst Year 0.75% -25.53% -20.18% -2.87%
Avg. Drawdown -0.04% -6.61% -2.93% -2.33%
Avg. Drawdown Days 6.36 150.19 76.75 43.90
Avg. Up Month 0.38% 4.53% 3.72% 2.65%
Avg. Down Month -0.11% -4.32% -3.27% -1.75%
Win Year % 100.00% 54.55% 63.64% 81.82%
Win 12m % 99.20% 53.60% 62.40% 86.40%

仓位

多空信号 - 沪深300

多空信号 - 上证50

多空信号 - 中证500

多空信号 - 创业板

多空信号 - 上证红利